Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021773 0.023456 0.025207 0.027168 0.029303 0.031560 0.034128
2025-12-14 0.018809 0.021201 0.023820 0.026908 0.030457 0.034420 0.039191
2025-12-21 0.017023 0.019840 0.023044 0.026971 0.031674 0.037148 0.044036
2025-12-28 0.015594 0.018667 0.022270 0.026827 0.032471 0.039271 0.048145
2026-01-04 0.014513 0.017774 0.021696 0.026795 0.033295 0.041366 0.052244
2026-01-11 0.013676 0.017089 0.021291 0.026887 0.034209 0.043553 0.056521
2026-01-18 0.012934 0.016457 0.020884 0.026912 0.034989 0.045555 0.060621
2026-01-25 0.012345 0.015971 0.020617 0.027073 0.035916 0.047761 0.065087
2026-02-01 0.011654 0.015305 0.020062 0.026795 0.036206 0.049082 0.068361
2026-02-08 0.010974 0.014610 0.019423 0.026351 0.036214 0.049980 0.071045
2026-02-15 0.010448 0.014092 0.018989 0.026154 0.036540 0.051315 0.074413
2026-02-22 0.009949 0.013583 0.018538 0.025898 0.036749 0.052469 0.077546
2026-03-01 0.009489 0.013123 0.018152 0.025746 0.037144 0.053983 0.081437
2026-03-08 0.009036 0.012654 0.017731 0.025520 0.037420 0.055336 0.085181
2026-03-15 0.008705 0.012340 0.017517 0.025583 0.038123 0.057369 0.090128
2026-03-22 0.008344 0.011964 0.017189 0.025449 0.038503 0.058901 0.094339
2026-03-29 0.008038 0.011654 0.016940 0.025418 0.039033 0.060689 0.099076
2026-04-05 0.007785 0.011410 0.016776 0.025505 0.039747 0.062798 0.104490
2026-04-12 0.007533 0.011155 0.016582 0.025528 0.040351 0.064749 0.109744
2026-04-19 0.007328 0.010962 0.016473 0.025680 0.041166 0.067090 0.115839
2026-04-26 0.007039 0.010626 0.016124 0.025418 0.041267 0.068204 0.119761
2026-05-03 0.006732 0.010249 0.015693 0.024999 0.041072 0.068782 0.122710
2026-05-10 0.006495 0.009973 0.015411 0.024814 0.041267 0.070051 0.127039